Microsoft bids 3 Facebooks for Yahoo!

By: Will Critchlow

I’m not going to go into depth on the news that Microsoft has bid $44.6 billion as it will be covered (to death) in a million and one places (and I don’t really have time to write any kind of blog post as I have two interviews this afternoon, a report to write and a load of calls to return).

I just wanted to make a few observations:

  1. as I’m sure other people have noted the valuation put on Yahoo! is almost exactly 3 times the crazy extrapolated Facebook valuation
  2. the half-cash / half-shares offer uses more than half of Microsoft’s total cash pile - which I think has to be a good thing in terms of proving that they are putting their money where their mouth is (mouths are?) about being serious that they are going to compete with Google
  3. this isn’t just about search. It’s easy to think it is from within the SEO world, but remember that Yahoo! is more than a search engine (thankfully!) and presumably Microsoft has plans for pretty much all of it.

I’m going to end with a graph of (rebased) share prices for MSFT, YHOO and GOOG over the last year. I’m not sure exactly what implications to draw from it (I’m not a corporate finance specialist) but I think it’s interesting:

MSFT YHOO GOOG

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4 Comments »

  • David Mihm on Fri (1 Feb) @ 3:47 pm

    Will, you win the award for best title on this story!! I couldn’t help but click through from my reader. What a shock to wake up to over here across the pond.

    Your graph is REALLY interesting. If only that were share of searches and not stock price…

  • Christophe on Fri (1 Feb) @ 4:01 pm

    Some people might not realize how “expensive” it is, here are some numbers:

    Microsoft :
    - 2006 Net Income : $12.6 billion
    - 2007 Net Income : $14.06 billion
    - Shares : 9.31 billion
    - A single share price (as I’m speaking) : $30.91

    Correct me if I’m wrong, but paying half of $44.6 billion ($22.3 B) in cash is worth almost two years of their net income.
    But $22.3 B in shares is “only” worth 0.077% of Microsoft capitalization (22.3/(9.31*30.91)).

    That’s big.
    I can perfectly remember Google buying Youtube only with stocks transaction, in October, 9th 2006. A GOOG share was worth $295 (with 42M shares). Three weeks later it was valuated $390 (with 57M shares). The usual “money creating money”.

    You’re right, Microsoft is serious on this. Let’s see what will happen next…

  • Will Critchlow on Fri (1 Feb) @ 4:06 pm

    @David: thanks ;)

    @Christophe: You are right about the cash (i.e. 2 years’ net income). That is a big deal. The shares are 7.7% I think - you need to multiply by 100… But still, your point stands (especially money creating money).

  • Christophe on Fri (1 Feb) @ 4:09 pm

    Absolutely for the *100 … maths and the obvious …
    Yeah that’s a great title by the way :)

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